Country Risk Analysis guidelines:
Please produce concise, coherent, comprehensive and well-supported paper.
Use international rankings (and indices) the more the better (compare with the US, as the point of reference and in the region of the selected country location), not just an isolated number.
Please focus on the components which are most relevant for the selected country.
Please make sure you have relevant, comprehensive, reliable and representative data.
Group data with relevant measures for complex analysis of selected risks and issues under consideration.
Resort to various models of country risk assessment.
Tables and charts are highly preferred.
Always refer to the causes/sources of risk.
Ethical considerations need to be addressed, for example: country currency risk and debt handling (such as debt forgiveness, international aid, and currency restrictions), political stability and corruption.
Outline:
1. Political Risk (policies and indicators)
Geopolitical location
Political status and country stability
Political legitimacy of the government
Frequency of changes of government
National and social orientation
Level of violence
Internal Conflicts (ethnic, language and religious differentiation)
Number of armed insurrections
Extent of conflicts and dependence on other states
Summary of rankings (comparisons and interpretation)
2. Economic Risk (policies and indicators)
Legal system
Market system mechanism, institutions and incentives
Stable economic policies (including social policy)
Money supply, inflation (monetary stability) and interest rates
Fiscal responsibility (government spending) – country debt
Balance of Payment, current account deficit, trade balance, currency reserves, resource base, terms-of trade and structural issues
Currency and type of the exchange rate system
Economics Growth (GDP per capita)
Property rights protection (risk of expropriation, risk of constrained use)
Risk of capital flight and (currency) speculation, interest rates arbitrage, FDIs (inward and outwards).
Government regulations and controls, taxes (price controls, trade barriers, capital and currency controls, labor code restrictions)
State-owned firms, politically sensitive sectors and privatization
Legal risk (litigation),
Regional integration
Bureaucracy, corruption and government intervention
Openness of the economy and vulnerability to external shocks
Summary tables of ratios (comparison and interpretation)
Last Completed Projects
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